Predictability of Stock Returns using Financial Ratios: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange
Keywords:
Dividend yield, Price to earnings, Book-to-Market ratio, Stock return, Predictability, JEL Classification: G14, JEL Classification: G15, JEL Classification: G17, Pakistan Stock ExchangeAbstract
This study attempts to investigate financial ratios’ predictive power, using the time series data over the period of 2008-2015 for 84 listed companies covering 29 sectors in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). By selecting three different financial ratios: dividend yield (DY), price to earnings (P/E), and book-to-market ratio (B/M). The generalized least squares (GLS) technique is applied in the form of multiple linear regression models to test the relationship among all proposed variables. The results show that the three ratios hold a somewhat predictive power regarding stock returns in the Pakistan Stock Exchange. Where (DY) is significant for 26 firms, (P/E) is significant for 20 firms, and (B/M) is significant for 36 firms out of 84 listed companies.
JEL Classification: G14, G15, G17